Wednesday, August 3, 2011

Not a Bad Problem to Have


Name the Toronto Blue Jays starter by his stats over the last 30 days (slash line is ERA/FIP/SIERA because we fancy):
  1. 37 IP, 3.23 K/BB, .303 BABIP, 66.0 % strand rate, 4.62/3.26/2.97
  2. 22 IP, 3.00 K/BB, .341 BABIP, 72.3 % strand rate, 4.76/3.61/4.23
  3. 37 IP, 3.00 K/BB, .259 BABIP, 88.5 % strand rate, 2.19/3.83/3.83
  4. 33 IP, 2.00 K/BB, .265 BABIP, 72.9 % strang rate, 3.82/3.84/3.54
Who's your ace? Who's your number one? Who is the big second half guy and who just fixed his mechanics? NO CHEATING!

Make with the wild guesses in the comments, if you please.

THE RESULTS ARE IN!

Morrow, Carlos V, Cecil, and Ricky Romero.

Watch the unsustainables, Mr. Cecil! Keep being Brandon Morrow, Brandon Morrow. Ricky Romero is, always and forever, Ricky Romero.

The whiff rate breaks down just as you expect for these four pitchers, too. Morrow (11.8%), Romero (10.2%), Cecil (9.2%), and Villanueva (6.9%). League average is 8.5%. Carlos Villanueva, your pumpkinhood awaits.

All numbers cherrypicked from Fangraphs. Image courtesy of Destination 360.

17 comments:

  1. A- Morrow
    B- Romero
    C- Cecil
    D- Villanueva

    ReplyDelete
  2. Morrow
    Cecil
    Romero
    Villanuenva

    ReplyDelete
  3. Easy...

    Morrow
    Villanueva
    Cecil
    Romero

    ReplyDelete
  4. Morrow (high K/BB and FIP much better than ERA)
    Villaneuva (low IP)
    Romero (Low ERA)
    And that means it must be Cecil "strang"ing runners ;)

    Now I must visit Fangraphs to see how wrong I was.

    ReplyDelete
  5. The correct answer is out there. I'll give the late shifters some time before I "reveal" the "correct" order.

    ReplyDelete
  6. A - Morrow
    B - Villanueva
    C - Cecil
    D - Romero

    ReplyDelete
  7. more
    charlie V
    romes
    brettley

    ReplyDelete
  8. I almos feel dirty saying it, but with the current 25-man roster, it really makes more sense to have Litsch starting and Villanueva in the bullpen. I also wouldn't mind seeing what Mills can do if given a rotation spot for the rest of the season (assuming he doesn't COMPLETELY blow it).

    ReplyDelete
  9. Carlos V right now is reminding me of the Summer of Tallet experiment a couple years back - Tallet performed admirably in his first handful of starts after being converted from the bullpen, then looked awful as the team kept him in the rotation far longer than it should have. Hopefully they'll be smarter this time around.

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  10. Good call on Charlie V. He was lit up last night...I saw him pitch against Chicago early in the year, his 1st or 2nd start. He was steller. Slowly been losing it since, fatigueing...

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  11. I actually really like Litsch out of the pen, and I feel like it's in AA's high ceiling philosophy to try to shoot higher for the #4/5 starters. There's no harm, anyway, because you can always slide Litsch in there in a pinch.

    ReplyDelete

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