Friday, September 4, 2009

Niche Marketing

Everyone is good at something. Brandon League is good at confounding Blue Jays fans. For fun, let's check out Brandon League's splits by team. Who is he best again? Who has his number in 2009?


Split G PA H HR SO/BB BA OBP SLG OPS GDP HBP BAbip
California Angels 2 11 4 0 .364 .364 .364 .727 1 0 .400
Atlanta Braves 1 5 2 0 .400 .400 .600 1.000 0 0 .500
Baltimore Orioles 3 21 7 0 5.00 .350 .381 .450 .831 1 0 .467
Boston Red Sox 6 26 4 1 10.00 .167 .231 .292 .522 0 1 .231
Chicago White Sox 2 7 0 0 0.00 .000 .429 .000 .429 2 0 .000
Cincinnati Reds 2 10 2 0 1.00 .286 .444 .429 .873 0 1 .333
Cleveland Indians 4 25 9 1 1.00 .450 .542 .700 1.242 2 2 .471
Detroit Tigers 2 8 3 0 .375 .375 .375 .750 0 0 .429
Florida Marlins 2 15 7 2 3.00 .538 .600 1.154 1.754 0 1 .625
Kansas City Royals 2 9 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 .000
Minnesota Twins 1 3 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 .000
New York Yankees 8 35 6 0 6.00 .188 .235 .250 .485 1 0 .300
Oakland Athletics 2 13 3 0 0.00 .273 .385 .455 .839 0 0 .273
Philadelphia Phillies 4 16 4 1 .250 .250 .563 .813 0 0 .333
Seattle Mariners 1 3 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 .000
Tampa Bay Rays 8 43 11 3 2.40 .297 .395 .595 .990 1 1 .364
Texas Rangers 4 15 2 0 2.50 .154 .267 .154 .421 1 0 .250
Washington Nationals 2 5 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 .000
Inter-League 11 51 15 3 6.50 .326 .380 .652 1.032 0 2 .400
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/4/2009.

Wow. Somehow, Brandon League completely owns the Yankees. He has his entire career. The number one offense in baseball in terms of runs, home runs, wOBA, walks, pretty much any number you could use to evaluate an offense. Yet Brandon League holds them to .464 OPS. Also note his K/BB ratio of TEN TO ONE in 7 appearances versus the Red Sox. Try to ignore the savage beatings he took at the hands of the National League. How in God's name does this happen??

Last night he sandwiched a lonely double & sac bunt with a two fly outs and two strike outs (with the patented Brandon League wild pitch thrown in for flavor). He struck out Johnny Damon and Mark Teixeira, a feat unto itself. It makes such a small amount of sense that a team traditionally chock full of power hitting lefties gets run over by League consistently while a more slap-dash team like the Rays completely owns him. Let's revive the speed * vertical break graph from a few weeks ago to see what he had last night.

Click to Enlarge
So the blue dots are a combination of three separate outings; some good, some bad. Green was last night's outing against the Yankees, red is the legendary 3 inning ball gag and whips outing in the Bronx. What does this tell me? His stuff during the extra innings marathon was nuts. Insane. Last night he kept the Yankees at bay with pretty much is standard arsenal. None of this explains why League owns the Yanks or why he's so inconsistent though. What about spin?

Click to blow up real good

That is a little messy. Generally, speed versus spin direction angle charts show much more distinct patterns (like this), grouping pitches nicely to ease identification. With Brandon League we get a typical clusterfuck that leaves me scratching my head. Apparently Brandon League can't do a couple things:
  1. Maintain a consistent release point/arm angle to support a repeatable breaking ball or
  2. He throws a second breaking pitch so badly it is nearly indistinguishable from his splitter.
I could be wrong, but I think it's the former. League's split fingered pitch is essentially to keeping hitters off his dangerous fastball, especially on days when it isn't doing what it's supposed to.

The real question is: will I ever "crack the case" on Brandon League? Will I one day discover the key to his future success, to dozens of saves and healthy paychecks? Probably not. But if you've been reading this site for long enough you know I'm having a great time trying to figure it out.

Thanks to Brooks for the pitch data, B-R for the splits, and Daylife for the photo

2 comments:

  1. League should be unhitable. I mean that no one should ever get a single hit. Seriously. Keep trying to unlock the mystery to the worlds ultimate closer...

    ReplyDelete
  2. Nice work Drew, I think we've only scratched the surface when it comes to understanding Brandon League. I think that's part of the fascination with him - once you think you've got Brandon League figured out, he flips the script and gets lit up or shuts down the Yankees for three innings.

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